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Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025?
2.8%
157 forecasters
15
37 comments
37
Will there be war between North Korea and South Korea before these dates, according to WPR?
2040
12%
2030
6%
2025
0.4%
8
13 comments
13
Will North Korea produce 8 million tons of cement per year before 2026?
34%
21 forecasters
5
1 comment
1
Autocrat Public Figures Series
Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?
Resolved :
Yes
169 forecasters
25
26 comments
26
Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?
Resolved :
Yes
37 forecasters
4
2 comments
2
Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet?
Resolved :
Yes
239 forecasters
28
8 comments
8
Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018?
Resolved :
No
410 forecasters
24
35 comments
35
Will Kim Jong-un meet the head of government from any G7 nation in-person before 15 June 2018?
Resolved :
Yes
145 forecasters
11
16 comments
16
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
Will North Korea launch an intercontinental ballistic missile in 2019?
Resolved :
No
85 forecasters
12
18 comments
18
Will Kim Jong-un still be the de facto leader of North Korea on 1 January 2020?
Resolved :
Yes
144 forecasters
7
15 comments
15
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