Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
52 others
31
208 comments
208
Will Ukraine join the EU before 2030?
15%
373 forecasters
43
74 comments
74
Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?
Resolved :
No
112 forecasters
12
6 comments
6
Global support and side-flipping on China's Uyghur policies in Xinjiang by 2023?
Resolved :
-28
65 forecasters
15
20 comments
20
Will Russia annex any part of any Baltic country by 2035?
2%
262 forecasters
36
54 comments
54
Verity
What will be the annual inflation in Latvia in 2022?
Resolved :
20.8
15 forecasters
4
7 comments
7
Will Belarus become a EU candidate country before 2030?
1%
74 forecasters
7
5 comments
5
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives