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Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
52 others
31
208 comments
208
Will the banana plague reach Latin America?
Resolved :
No
116 forecasters
15
4 comments
4
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO East Mediterranean region by March 27?
Resolved :
35.2k
53 forecasters
5
24 comments
24
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Will Lebanon come under French rule again before 2025?
0.1%
209 forecasters
5
13 comments
13
What will Lebanon's Fragile States Index score be in 2022?
Resolved :
91.3
28 forecasters
3
5 comments
5
Horizon Scan: How many people will be forcibly displaced in these countries in 2022?
Azerbaijan
707k
Haiti
208k
Sri Lanka
172k
4 others
10
6 comments
6
Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
Will Israel join the EU before 2050?
1%
55 forecasters
9
9 comments
9
What will be the Council on Foreign Relations' count of conflicts with significant or greater impact on US interests on January 1, 2024?
Resolved :
9
15 forecasters
3
20 comments
20
The Israel-Hamas War: Forecasting in Unprecedented Times
13
1 comment
1
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024?
Resolved :
No
135 forecasters
9
24 comments
24
Global Pulse Tournament
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