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By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?
Resolved :
No
86 forecasters
27
8 comments
8
Playing God Series
Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?
Resolved :
No
83 forecasters
9
4 comments
4
Pandemic Series (2018)
By the end of 2019 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?
Resolved :
No
78 forecasters
8
4 comments
4
In the year 2020, will no gene drive be launched to fight malaria-carrying mosquitoes in any part of the world?
Resolved :
Yes
105 forecasters
10
10 comments
10
Future Perfect 2020 Series
In 2027, what will the cost-effectiveness of the Against Malaria Foundation be, according to GiveWell?
4.89k
19 forecasters
8
7 comments
7
Malaria and the Historic RTS,S Vaccine
7
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
When will WHO recommend widespread use of a malaria vaccine that is >75% effective?
Resolved :
Oct 2, 2023
55 forecasters
13
10 comments
10
Biosecurity Tournament
What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?
2023:
103
52 forecasters
5
2 comments
2
Forecasting Our World in Data
How many countries will have approved the R21/Matrix-M malaria vaccine on June 30, 2023?
Resolved :
2
40 forecasters
6
10 comments
10
📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰
