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When (if ever) will a Manhattan/Apollo project toward AGI be launched?
2029-01-24
71 forecasters
27
25 comments
25
Situational Awareness
Will the Doomsday Clock advance toward midnight at the end of this year?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
282 forecasters
35
27 comments
27
How much interest will the 2021 US Government report on UAPs generate?
Resolved :
1.28
37 forecasters
10
37 comments
37
50 years after the first AGI becomes publicly known, how many hours earlier will historical consensus determine it came online?
1.21k
61 forecasters
17
19 comments
19
AGI Outcomes
Looking ahead to 2050: Charting scenarios without transformative AI
8
3 comments
3
AI Progress Essay Contest
