Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
If Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg have a cage fight, what will the outcome be?
Zuckerberg Wins
77%
Draw
15%
Musk Wins
10%
4
20 comments
20
Will Threads report more monthly active users than Twitter before 2026?
1%
98 forecasters
8
11 comments
11
Who will be the first USD trillionaire?
Someone else
51.24%
Elon Musk
27.48%
Jeff Bezos
6.85%
13 others
3
18 comments
18
Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17?
Resolved :
Yes
68 forecasters
4
3 comments
3
Will Mark Zuckerberg be CEO of Facebook, Inc. on March 1st 2019?
Resolved :
Yes
111 forecasters
6
2 comments
2
Will Meta report 1 billion active users by December 31, 2031?
21%
111 forecasters
13
26 comments
26
What will Meta’s yearly spending on Reality Labs be?
2025:
13.8B
11 forecasters
9
17 comments
17
At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments?
Dario Amodei
No
Mark Zuckerberg
No
Sundar Pichai
No
2 others
3
9 comments
9
Will Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg engage in a cage fight at any point before 2024?
Resolved :
No
167 forecasters
10
22 comments
22
Will Meta launch a Threads web app before October 1, 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
168 forecasters
8
22 comments
22
🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Load More