Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Low-mass Doppler-detected planet in 2016?
Resolved :
No
11 forecasters
7
7 comments
7
by 2021, will SLAC complete an "accelerator-on-a-chip" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?
Resolved :
No
132 forecasters
21
9 comments
9
Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?
Resolved :
No
57 forecasters
10
6 comments
6
To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?
Resolved :
No
301 forecasters
83
24 comments
24
Vacuum birefringence probably found near neutron stars: more research to come?
Resolved :
Yes
31 forecasters
8
7 comments
7
Will an AI be trained using an Avogadro's number of operations before the end of 2018?
Resolved :
No
141 forecasters
11
13 comments
13
AI Technical Benchmarks
What will be the lowest tabulated cost of a teraflop of computing speed in 2018?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
47 forecasters
5
22 comments
22
When will one TeraFLOP/s cost <$1?
2029-05-17
78 forecasters
15
18 comments
18
What will be Top500's #1 performing supercomputer as a multiple of the #500 performer in 2030?
244
33 forecasters
5
4 comments
4
Will an AI be trained using an Avogadro's number of operations before the end of 2019?
Resolved :
No
68 forecasters
9
41 comments
41
Load More