Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will Apple Watch feature a blood pressure monitor before 2025?
45%
62 forecasters
16
10 comments
10
All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?
Resolved :
No
103 forecasters
3
14 comments
14
New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?
Resolved :
No
45 forecasters
10
1 comment
1
How good will the best available retinal prosthesis be in 2030?
1.26
26 forecasters
10
14 comments
14
How good will the best available visual cortex prosthesis be in 2030?
1.74
21 forecasters
9
7 comments
7
Will The Kidney Project's implantable bioartificial kidney receive FDA approval before 2025?
1%
34 forecasters
4
4 comments
4
When Will We See Real Nanotechnology?
19
1 comment
1
Will GiveWell fund or recommend grants for the following interventions before January 1, 2027?
Community-Based Maternal and Neonatal
80%
HPV Vaccination to Prevent Cervical Cancer
70%
SMS Reminders for Vaccination
69.8%
16 others
5
5 comments
5
When will the first fully autonomous surgery or procedure be performed on a human?
2032-03-23
49 forecasters
15
4 comments
4
AI Demonstrations
⚕️Primum Non Nocere: A Physician’s Perspective on AI in Medicine
10
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
Load More