Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Of the top 10 AI companies, how many will pledge not to develop lethal autonomous weapons?
Resolved :
2
96 forecasters
8
7 comments
7
Business of AI
Watch Recordings From Metaculus Presents
9
no comments
0
Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?
Google DeepMind
45%
Microsoft
28.6%
Meta
20%
13 others
5
8 comments
8
Future of AI
Before 2030, how many new AI labs will be leading labs within 2 years of their founding?
0 or 1
44.12%
2 or 3
43.14%
4 or 5
7.84%
3 others
4
2 comments
2
Future of AI
