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Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
52 others
31
210 comments
210
Will Nigeria have a coup before 2025?
1%
81 forecasters
12
15 comments
15
Will Niger experience a coup before 2023?
Resolved :
No
42 forecasters
2
5 comments
5
Will Mohamed Bazoum, Nigerien President, return to power before August 31, 2023?
Resolved :
No
153 forecasters
14
32 comments
32
๐ Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup ๐
Will ECOWAS launch a military intervention in Niger before August 12, 2023?
Resolved :
No
151 forecasters
18
84 comments
84
๐ Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup ๐
Will ECOWAS intervene militarily in Niger before October 1, 2023?
Resolved :
No
141 forecasters
11
47 comments
47
condition
ECOWAS Intervention Before August 12, 2023?
Resolved :
No
67 forecasters
if yes
if no
Mohamed Bazoum in Power By August 31, 2023?
15%
15%
Resolved :
Annulled
Mohamed Bazoum in Power By August 31, 2023?
5%
5%
Resolved :
No
6
10 comments
10
๐ Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup ๐
Forecast Factors: Drivers of Birth Rates in the Modern World
4
16 comments
16
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