Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025?
2%
15
37 comments
37
How many nuclear weapon states will there be in 2030?
9
61%
10
31%
11
10%
4 others
4
12 comments
12
If there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2030, in which countries will there be at least one fatality?
Israel
25%
Ukraine
25%
Pakistan
16.6%
5 others
6
8 comments
8
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
66%
Democratic Republic of Congo
60%
52 others
29
208 comments
208
Will North and South Korea be at war before 2050, according to WPR?
18%
10
29 comments
29
Will North Korea and South Korea be recognized as a unified sovereign state by 2045?
8%
24
35 comments
35
How many nuclear weapons will be detonated offensively by 2050, if at least one offensive detonation occurs?
7.56
14
4 comments
4
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
What will South Korea's fertility be in 2032?
6.85e-1
14
27 comments
27
Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?
Resolved :
Yes
25
26 comments
26
Will the US take military action in N. Korea?
Resolved :
No
17
9 comments
9
Load more