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In 2029, will the US have 3,800 or fewer nuclear weapons?
58.7%
110 forecasters
19
17 comments
17
If the US does not pursue nuclear disarmament, how many nuclear warheads will it have in 2029?
4.78k
34 forecasters
9
2 comments
2
Intersections between nuclear risk and AI
5
no comments
0
Nuclear Risk Tournament
By 2024, will the next Nuclear Posture Review explicitly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans?
Resolved :
Yes
56 forecasters
4
5 comments
5
Nuclear Risk Tournament
