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If there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2030, in which countries will there be at least one fatality?

6

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

What proportion of non-test nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be against battlefield targets?

3

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by countries by 2050 will be on cities with >1500 people per km^2?

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Will there be at least 1 fatality from a non-test nuclear detonation before 2025?

7

Will there be at least one fatality in the US from a non-test nuclear detonation by 2050 if a non-test detonation causes a fatality anywhere?

8

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Will a non-test nuclear detonation by a non-state actor cause at least one fatality by 2030?

7

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Will the next non-test detonation of a state’s nuclear weapon be immediately preceded by conventional conflict?

2

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be countervalue?

4

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be on well-populated areas?

9

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

How many nuclear weapons will be detonated offensively by 2050, if at least one offensive detonation occurs?

14

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project