MetaculusM

Questions
Tournaments

Leaderboards
News
create

AI Benchmarking

Topics

categories

See all categories

About
API

FAQ
forecasting resources
For Journalists

Careers

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

What will be the average annual number of measles cases in the US from 2025 through 2030?

Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?

241 forecasters

49

Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

11

When will the first baby be born away from Earth?

12

What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2029-2030 school year?

2

Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?

6

Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?

2

Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?

9

Pandemic Series (2018)

When will we see the first live birth from human in vitro gametogenesis?

13

How many influenza-associated pediatric deaths will there be in Virginia during the 2021-2022 flu season?

-1

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 3