Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
ๆ
Feed Home
๐ค๐ญ
AI Benchmarking
Topics
โจ๐
Top Questions
๐ฝ๐ณ๏ธ
US Election Stakes
๐๏ธ๐
Global Elections
๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธ
Gaza Conflict
โณ๐
5 Years After AGI
๐ฆ ๐ฉบ
Mpox outbreak
๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ
Ukraine Conflict
๐ฆ๐ฆ
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
๐ค
Artificial Intelligence
๐งฌ
Health & Pandemics
๐
Environment & Climate
โฃ๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
How Many States Will Split the Senate-Presidential Ticket in the 2024 US Election?
4
Yes
2
No
1
No
5 others
2
10 comments
10
Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?
Resolved :
No
31 forecasters
5
3 comments
3
Will at least 9 of the 12 states hit hardest by COVID-19 in 2020 be states that voted for Trump in 2016?
Resolved :
No
173 forecasters
12
105 comments
105
Will FiveThirtyEight ace the 2020 US presidential electoral map?
Resolved :
No
94 forecasters
9
21 comments
21
Will any states flip from the current projected winner?
Resolved :
No
202 forecasters
22
119 comments
119
In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code ยง 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?
15%
29 forecasters
4
7 comments
7
Will Mehmet Oz win the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania?
Resolved :
No
228 forecasters
10
89 comments
89
Will Doug Mastriano be elected Governor of Pennsylvania in 2022?
Resolved :
No
51 forecasters
6
10 comments
10
What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks?
December 31:
Resolved :
1.03k
10 forecasters
3
16 comments
16
FluSight Challenge 2022/23
Announcing FluSight Challenge 2022/23
7
5 comments
5
FluSight Challenge 2022/23
Load More
