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Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

20

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

8

Will Ukraine join the EU before 2030?

373 forecasters

43

Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?

112 forecasters

12

Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?

125 forecasters

6

IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge

Will the INF treaty functionally continue past 2025?

3

How many countries will be awarded a B or better for farm animal welfare protection by to the Animal Protection Index by end of 2022?

Resolved :Below lower bound

2

Animal Welfare Series

[Short Fuse] Will Warsaw (the capital of Poland) become a red epidemic zone before the 24th of October 2020?

3

In 2021 will the European Commission suspend all EU mink farming, including breeding, and all in-country and cross-border transportation of live mink and their raw pelts?

11

Animal Welfare Series

Will there be a 10X growth in number of legal abortions conducted in Poland before 2031?

7