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Will we be able to tolerate a 5% physical error rate in quantum computing by 2032?
25.5%
18 forecasters
6
2 comments
2
Will Google make a "watershed" announcement about quantum computing in early December?
Resolved :
No
2 forecasters
7
3 comments
3
Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?
Resolved :
No
139 forecasters
38
26 comments
26
When will the first 49+ qubit universal quantum computer be constructed?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
85 forecasters
25
17 comments
17
Will quantum computing "supremacy” be achieved by 2025?
Resolved :
Yes
92 forecasters
23
32 comments
32
When will a quantum computer running Shor's algorithm (or a similar one) be used to factor one of the RSA numbers for the first time?
2040-05-14
91 forecasters
22
18 comments
18
When will it cost less than $1000 to calculate the private key of a 2048-bit RSA public key?
2045-08-21
39 forecasters
18
18 comments
18
When will it be possible to buy Quantum Computing via the Cloud?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
25 forecasters
2
9 comments
9
What will the total amount of worldwide venture capital funding in quantum computing be in 2022?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
24 forecasters
4
9 comments
9
Elliptic Curves, Diophantine Equations, and Cryptography
12
no comments
0
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