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Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?
South Korea
2%
Japan
1%
Ukraine
1%
6 others
11
16 comments
16
Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict in 2024?
1%
44
288 comments
288
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?
20%
27
51 comments
51
When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict?
2026-01-04
29
45 comments
45
Will North Korea send 100 or more troops to Ukraine before 2024?
Resolved :
No
12
28 comments
28
Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024?
1%
19
26 comments
26
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Will the next Russian leader disapprove of the Russian invasion of Ukraine?
25%
36
44 comments
44
Verity
Will Vladimir Putin declare Martial Law in at least 3/4 of Russia before 2025?
1%
6
6 comments
6
Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?
8%
10
4 comments
4
Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?
20%
8
6 comments
6
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