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When will GPT-5 be available to the general public?

17

Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee

Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025?

128 forecasters

5

Will Sam Altman be indicted before 2026?

8

Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI (again) before 2025?

5

The Westinghouse Contingency

3

AI Progress Essay Contest

What will state-of-the-art top-1 accuracy on the APPS Benchmark introductory problems be from 2022 to 2025?

7

AI Technical Benchmarks

When will OpenAI next update its approach to alignment research?

Resolved :Feb 24, 2023

9

What will Sam Altman's net worth be in January 2030?

1

Will GPT-4 input and/or output images?

Input Yes, Output No

Input No, Output No

Input No, Output Yes

8

AI Demonstrations

At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments?

Mark Zuckerberg

3