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When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?
Tesla
Jul 12, 2027
Waymo
Jan 29, 2027
Any Service
Nov 10, 2026
10
95 comments
95
When will a DUI be overruled or turned down due to riding a driverless car?
2030-01-28
58 forecasters
12
11 comments
11
In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?
Resolved :
No
16 forecasters
4
7 comments
7
AI Safety
Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?
Resolved :
No
336 forecasters
68
47 comments
47
AI Demonstrations
Tech Futures - 52 Conversation Starters
2
3 comments
3
When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?
2073-10-09
52 forecasters
15
25 comments
25
When will self-driving taxis be available in at least one large German city?
2030-06-14
72 forecasters
13
6 comments
6
AI Demonstrations
Are We Surprised by AI Milestones?
8
no comments
0
AI Progress Essay Contest
On January 1, 2024, will an ordinary person be able to take a self-driving taxi from Oakland → SF during rush hour?
Resolved :
No
107 forecasters
4
17 comments
17
ACX 2023 Prediction Contest
When will the first fully autonomous surgery or procedure be performed on a human?
2032-03-23
49 forecasters
15
4 comments
4
AI Demonstrations
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