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Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
52 others
31
208 comments
208
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
68%
Afghanistan
63%
70 others
20
59 comments
59
When will a West Balkan state next join the EU?
2029-11-23
42 forecasters
9
9 comments
9
When will Serbia recognize Kosovo?
2043-11-29
31 forecasters
4
7 comments
7
Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup?
Argentina
Yes
France
No
Brazil
No
29 others
33
185 comments
185
How many estimated cases of Marburg virus (MARV) will occur globally in 2022?
Resolved :
4
22 forecasters
3
9 comments
9
When will the following countries have open borders with all Schengen Area members?
Albania
Jan 11, 2035
Serbia
Jan 11, 2035
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Jan 11, 2035
15 others
3
1 comment
1
Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?
Montenegro
97%
North Macedonia
87.5%
Albania
80%
17 others
23
51 comments
51
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
Will there be a military conflict between Serbia and Kosovo before January 1, 2024?
Resolved :
No
87 forecasters
5
12 comments
12
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