Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland in 2024?
19%
28 forecasters
6
4 comments
4
Will there be at least 200 military conflict deaths between Ethiopia, Somalia, and Somaliland in 2024?
5%
27 forecasters
5
19 comments
19
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO East Mediterranean region by March 27?
Resolved :
35.2k
53 forecasters
5
24 comments
24
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Global support and side-flipping on China's Uyghur policies in Xinjiang by 2023?
Resolved :
-28
65 forecasters
15
20 comments
20
How many FAO domestic food price warnings in spring 2023?
Resolved :
16
18 forecasters
2
5 comments
5
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
Forecast Factors: Drivers of Interstate Wars in the Modern World
9
9 comments
9
Metaculus Journal Archives