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Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

20

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

8

Before July 1, 2027, will TSMC lose large numbers of wafers in a short period of time due to attack or sabotage against one or more of its Taiwan-based "Fab" facilities?

10

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Will any of the following Western AI chip makers have any of their AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2033?

7

Chinese AI Chips

Will there be war between North Korea and South Korea before these dates, according to WPR?

8

How many 8"-equivalent wafers will SMIC ship in each quarter of 2024?

Q3 (ends Sep 2024):1.9M

6

Chinese AI Chips

How much quarterly revenue will SMIC earn from 12" wafers in 2024?

Q1 (ends Mar 2024):1.15B

6

Chinese AI Chips

Will Biren or Moore Threads be publicly traded before 2028?

6

Chinese AI Chips

Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018?

169 forecasters

25

How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO Western Pacific Region, outside of China and Taiwan, by March 27?

Resolved :17.9k

4

Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament