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Which country will be the first to administer more territory off Earth than on it?
United States
50%
China
33%
United Arab Emirates
10%
6 others
16
42 comments
42
If life is discovered in the solar system before 2050, where will it be first discovered?
Mars
38%
Europa
32.7%
Enceladus
10%
7 others
15
16 comments
16
What will be the annual number of objects launched into space in the following years?
2025:
3.72k
79 forecasters
10
9 comments
9
Forecasting Our World in Data
What will be the median cost of a visit to space for a private citizen?
2025:
23M
41 forecasters
13
16 comments
16
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
Announcing the Sagan Space Tournament
18
11 comments
11
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
When will at least 1 kg of helium-3 from extraterrestrial bodies be imported to Earth?
2075-03-15
5 forecasters
6 comments
6
condition
AI Wins Coding Competition in 2024?
17 forecasters
if yes
if no
Frontier Open-Source AI? (2025)
21%
21%
Frontier Open-Source AI? (2025)
20%
20%
2
no comments
0
Conditional Cup
Will the results of the propellantless propulsion drive revealed by Dr. Charles Buhler and Exodus Propulsion Technologies replicate before July 1, 2025?
2%
14 forecasters
3
9 comments
9
In what year will a physical object be teleported?
2717-01-01
13 forecasters
13
40 comments
40
Between June 1 and June 15, 2024, what will be the strongest geomagnetic storm observed on Earth?
6.0 to 6.667
Yes
7.0 to 7.667
No
8.0 to 8.667
No
3 others
6
3 comments
3
🏆 Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
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