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How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024?
4
95%
5
4.7%
2
No
4 others
5
31 comments
31
Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024?
8%
715 forecasters
24
89 comments
89
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
When will the following vehicles launch into orbit?
Terran R
Jan 1, 2026
Neutron
Aug 21, 2025
Starship
Jan 5, 2025
3 others
19
73 comments
73
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
25%
1220 forecasters
174
88 comments
88
Will Elon Musk become the first trillionaire?
19%
285 forecasters
27
71 comments
71
What will be the maximum number of on-Earth reuses for a single booster or other rocket stage in the following years?
2025:
11.7
31 forecasters
10
15 comments
15
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
Will SpaceX land people on Mars before 2030?
1%
4234 forecasters
906
452 comments
452
What percent of the total rockets launched into space in each year will have been reused?
2025:
55
39 forecasters
11
14 comments
14
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
What will be the largest payload capacity (in tons) of a successfully reused launch vehicle in the following years?
2025:
75.1
26 forecasters
4
1 comment
1
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
Will Elon Musk personally go to Mars?
5%
432 forecasters
56
53 comments
53
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