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Will the U.S. default on its debt before 1 November 2021?
Resolved :
No
1%
175 forecasters
18
58 comments
58
Will Evergrande default on its debt before the end of 2021?
Resolved :
Yes
54%
49 forecasters
14
24 comments
24
Will Russia default on its debt in 2022?
Resolved :
Yes
82%
438 forecasters
33
65 comments
65
Ukraine Conflict
Will Pakistan default on its debt in 2022?
Resolved :
No
1%
35 forecasters
4
2 comments
2
Verity
Will the United Kingdom's long-term credit rating be downgraded below an A grade by 1 January 2030?
30%
27 forecasters
10
6 comments
6
How many countries will have AAA-rated sovereign debt according to S&P in 2028?
11
11 forecasters
1
7 comments
7
Will the United States default on its sovereign debt before 2024?
Resolved :
No
0.1%
183 forecasters
26
32 comments
32
Will US sovereign debt be downgraded in 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
3%
44 forecasters
10
11 comments
11
condition
U.S. Debt Default Before 2024?
Resolved :
No
69 forecasters
if yes
if no
Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
55%
55%
Resolved :
Annulled
55%
Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
53%
53%
Resolved :
No
53%
10
5 comments
5
condition
Debt Limit Increased or Suspended in 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
13 forecasters
if yes
if no
U.S. Debt Default Before 2024?
7%
7%
Resolved :
No
7%
U.S. Debt Default Before 2024?
62%
62%
Resolved :
Annulled
62%
4
1 comment
1
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