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Will Blake Masters be President of the United States before 2070?
1%
80 forecasters
2
11 comments
11
by 2021, will SLAC complete an "accelerator-on-a-chip" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?
Resolved :
No
59%
132 forecasters
21
9 comments
9
What percent of undergrads at select US universities will be enrolled in introductory ML classes?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
5.03
43 forecasters
6
6 comments
6
In the year ending on November 2nd, 2020, will the total worldwide non-governmental funding of AI & Automation social science research exceed $100M?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
76%
111 forecasters
11
16 comments
16
Foresight 2020 Contest
Will the recipient of the 2020 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics work for a top cited scholastic institution?
Resolved :
Yes
45%
56 forecasters
9
33 comments
33
What will the highest Exact Match rate of the best-performing model on SQuAD2.0 be, at the end of 2022?
Resolved :
90.9
91.9
26 forecasters
3
1 comment
1
AI Technical Benchmarks
What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2021-06-14?
Resolved :
118
116
61 forecasters
10
11 comments
11
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
What will the highest Exact Match rate of the best-performing model on SQuAD2.0 be on 2021-06-14?
Resolved :
90.9
90.8
60 forecasters
3
1 comment
1
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?
Closed
204
80 forecasters
5
5 comments
5
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2022-01-14?
Resolved :
121
124
39 forecasters
3
4 comments
4
Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round
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