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Will Blake Masters be President of the United States before 2070?

2

by 2021, will SLAC complete an "accelerator-on-a-chip" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?

Resolved :No59%

132 forecasters

21

What percent of undergrads at select US universities will be enrolled in introductory ML classes?

Resolved :Ambiguous5.03

6

In the year ending on November 2nd, 2020, will the total worldwide non-governmental funding of AI & Automation social science research exceed $100M?

Resolved :Ambiguous76%

111 forecasters

11

Foresight 2020 Contest

Will the recipient of the 2020 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics work for a top cited scholastic institution?

Resolved :Yes45%

9

What will the highest Exact Match rate of the best-performing model on SQuAD2.0 be, at the end of 2022?

Resolved :90.991.9

3

AI Technical Benchmarks

What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2021-06-14?

Resolved :118116

10

Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

What will the highest Exact Match rate of the best-performing model on SQuAD2.0 be on 2021-06-14?

Resolved :90.990.8

3

Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?

5

Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2022-01-14?

Resolved :121124

3

Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round