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Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

20

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

8

Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?

125 forecasters

6

IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge

How many United Nations Security Council Resolutions concerning Syria will be vetoed by Russia between 22 April 2018 and 22 August 2018?

2

IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge

How many civilians will be killed in Syria in September 2019, according to the Syrian Network for Human Rights (SNHR)?

2

How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO East Mediterranean region by March 27?

Resolved :35.2k

5

Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament

Global support and side-flipping on China's Uyghur policies in Xinjiang by 2023?

15

Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024?

201 forecasters

20

Nuclear Risk Tournament

Before 2070, Will there be a civil war in a country that, in January 2022, had a median age above 30?

9

Will a civil war break out in a country with median age above 30 before 2070?

5