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If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?
61%
260 forecasters
20
24 comments
24
The Taiwan Tinderbox
How many nuclear weapon states will there be in 2030?
9
61.9%
10
35%
11
10%
4 others
4
12 comments
12
Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?
39%
952 forecasters
104
200 comments
200
The Taiwan Tinderbox
If China launches an invasion of Taiwan before 2035, and the US intervenes, will China attack the United States?
71%
141 forecasters
21
23 comments
23
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will China recognize the sovereignty of Taiwan by 2050?
4%
257 forecasters
34
40 comments
40
The Taiwan Tinderbox
If China launches a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2035, will they successfully control Taiwan within three years?
66%
223 forecasters
24
104 comments
104
The Taiwan Tinderbox
When will Taiwan reduce COVID restrictions from Level 3?
Resolved :
Jul 27, 2021
25 forecasters
5
17 comments
17
If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?
80%
161 forecasters
30
47 comments
47
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?
44.5%
76 forecasters
17
15 comments
15
If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?
52%
157 forecasters
17
33 comments
33
The Taiwan Tinderbox
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