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Will Elon Musk become the first trillionaire?

285 forecasters

27

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

10

Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025?

245 forecasters

23

Will Elon Musk face US federal criminal charges or an SEC civil complaint before 2026?

4

Will Elon Musk personally go to Mars?

432 forecasters

56

Will Tesla become the largest car company in the world (by sales) before 2035?

472 forecasters

47

Will Any Major AI Company Commit to an AI Windfall Clause by 2025?

115 forecasters

16

What will Tesla's market capitalization be on January 1, 2030?

20

When will these degrees of self-driving car autonomy be developed and commercially available?

243 forecasters

9

121 comments121

In which year will Tesla officially unveil a new passenger vehicle, possibly called the Model 2, priced under $25,000?

Not before 2027

8