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How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024?
21 to 100
89.68%
More than 100
10.02%
0
0.1%
2 others
7
95 comments
95
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?
5%
109 forecasters
15
66 comments
66
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
When will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000?
2040-01-01
10 forecasters
3
2 comments
2
condition
Human Transmission of H5N1 Before 2025?
19 forecasters
if yes
if no
500k H5Nx influenza cases before 2025?
2%
2%
500k H5Nx influenza cases before 2025?
0%
0%
1
no comments
0
Conditional Cup
On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?
4.24
29 forecasters
10
10 comments
10
Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee
In which year will Tesla officially unveil a new passenger vehicle, possibly called the Model 2, priced under $25,000?
Not before 2027
49.8%
2026
25.46%
2025
19.65%
1 other
8
22 comments
22
Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?
Resolved :
Yes
38 forecasters
2
10 comments
10
Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?
Resolved :
No
150 forecasters
13
39 comments
39
Will Texas elect a Democratic senator in 2018?
Resolved :
No
120 forecasters
16
11 comments
11
Will Alex Jones ever hold high Federal office in the United States before 2030?
1%
308 forecasters
-17
44 comments
44
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