Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
52 others
31
208 comments
208
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
68%
Afghanistan
63%
70 others
20
59 comments
59
Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?
Singapore
80%
Taiwan
75%
Vietnam
72%
9 others
6
8 comments
8
Chinese AI Chips
Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?
15%
35 forecasters
13
no comments
0
When will legal international trade in recreational cannabis take place?
2029-12-12
9 forecasters
2 comments
2
[closed] How many human infections of the 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) will be estimated to occur before 2021?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
74 forecasters
14
95 comments
95
Will the CDC issue a Level 3 Travel Health Notice for Thailand by May 1?
Resolved :
Yes
67 forecasters
9
23 comments
23
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO South-East Asia Region by March 27?
Resolved :
2.93k
50 forecasters
6
16 comments
16
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
How many parties will the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership have on December 31, 2030?
12.1
7 forecasters
2
6 comments
6
Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023?
India
Yes
Ukraine
Yes
Russia
No
5 others
3
35 comments
35
Alt-Protein Tournament Round 2
Load More