Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
When will the following space agencies launch a crewed mission?
KARI
Jan 19, 2034
JAXA
Sep 24, 2032
ESA
May 6, 2032
1 other
7
17 comments
17
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
How many of the following space exploration activities will China conduct before 2030?
Crewed spaceflight
25.1
Space station visits
18.9
Lunar exploration
4.62
8
6 comments
6
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
What will the space traveler fatality rate due to spacecraft anomalies be in the 2020's?
26 forecasters
6
10 comments
10
How many people will fly to space for the first time in the 2020's?
619
22 forecasters
7
7 comments
7
When will a free flying commercial space station become operational?
2031-02-22
36 forecasters
13
14 comments
14
Verity
The Future of Human Spaceflight
10
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
What will be the maximum number of people in space simultaneously for each of the following years?
2025:
18.9
38 forecasters
7
4 comments
4
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
