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Will mainstream news media report that alien technology has visited our solar system before 2030?
1.5%
253 forecasters
23
36 comments
36
Will the Kรกrmรกn Line be changed before 2023?
Resolved :
No
91 forecasters
10
4 comments
4
Microwave disruption of COVID-19 virus particles?
Resolved :
No
66 forecasters
4
7 comments
7
Will the Pentagon report on UAPs dispute secret technology or aliens as explanations?
Resolved :
No
53 forecasters
11
23 comments
23
Will the US propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by January 20, 2025?
7.4%
39 forecasters
no comments
0
Intersections between nuclear risk and AI
5
no comments
0
Nuclear Risk Tournament
When will the United States announce that the Lockheed U-2 has been retired from service?
2040-12-04
4 forecasters
4
8 comments
8
When will the USAF's Next Generation Air Dominance (NGAD) fighter aircraft reach initial operating capability?
2031-03-20
5 forecasters
1
4 comments
4
Will the FLOPs thresholds outlined in the US Executive Order on Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Development and Use of Artificial Intelligence be updated before the indicated year?
2025
75%
2026
75%
2027
75%
3 others
3 comments
3