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By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?
5%
5
no comments
0
Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?
Resolved :
No
47
14 comments
14
Will the Trump Adminstration succeed in creating a "Space Force" before the 2020 presidential election?
Resolved :
Yes
15
55 comments
55
[short-fuse] By 2022, will the US Senate confirm Biden's nominees for Treasury Secretary, Secretary of State, Defense Secretary, and Attorney General?
Resolved :
Yes
5
16 comments
16
Future Perfect 2021 Series
Will U.S. military troops still be in Afghanistan on 2021-05-01?
Resolved :
Yes
14
25 comments
25
What will the space traveler fatality rate due to spacecraft anomalies be in the 2020's?
6
10 comments
10
A public prediction by Kelsey Piper
no comments
0
Kelsey Piper
Intersections between nuclear risk and AI
5
no comments
0
Nuclear Risk Tournament
Will China reach 1,000 nuclear warheads by 2030?
55%
11
5 comments
5
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Where is the AGI Roadmap?
5
2 comments
2
AI Progress Essay Contest
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