Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
ๆ
Feed Home
๐ค๐ญ
AI Benchmarking
Topics
โจ๐
Top Questions
๐ฝ๐ณ๏ธ
US Election Stakes
๐๏ธ๐
Global Elections
๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธ
Gaza Conflict
โณ๐
5 Years After AGI
๐ฆ ๐ฉบ
Mpox outbreak
๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ
Ukraine Conflict
๐ฆ๐ฆ
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
๐ค
Artificial Intelligence
๐งฌ
Health & Pandemics
๐
Environment & Climate
โฃ๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
When will multi-modal ML out-perform uni-modal ML?
Resolved :
May 4, 2022
44 forecasters
13
32 comments
32
AI Technical Benchmarks
What will the state-of-the-art performance on semantic segmentation on Cityscapes be at 2021-06-14 in mean IoU in percent (MIoU%)?
Resolved :
84.3
60 forecasters
5
1 comment
1
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
What will the state-of-the-art performance on semantic segmentation on Cityscapes be at 2022-01-14 in mean IoU in percent (MIoU%)?
Resolved :
84.4
35 forecasters
2
1 comment
1
Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round
What will the state-of-the-art performance on semantic segmentation on Cityscapes be on 2023-02-14 in mean IoU in percent (MIoU%), amongst models not trained on extra data?
Resolved :
84.4
29 forecasters
1
2 comments
2
Forecasting AI Progress: Deep Learning Round
What will be the ratio of 2022 to 2021 average global interest in vertical farming?
Resolved :
1.26
23 forecasters
4
7 comments
7
condition
2050 CO2 emissions exceed 20 gigatons/year?
2 forecasters
if yes
if no
Global Methane Emissions in 2050?
7.43
Global Methane Emissions in 2050?
6.95
2
no comments
0
Orbital Allies: How Space Technology Fuels Sustainable Development and Climate Action
9
1 comment
1
Space Technology & Climate
Forecast Factors: Drivers of Birth Rates in the Modern World
4
16 comments
16
Metaculus Journal Archives
