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In the 2024 US presidential election, how many states will use plurality voting methods to choose their electors?
Resolved :
49
59 forecasters
8
27 comments
27
Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?
2%
708 forecasters
53
202 comments
202
Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?
8%
199 forecasters
23
42 comments
42
Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024?
5%
68 forecasters
9
27 comments
27
How many federal judges will the US Senate confirm in the following years?
2024:
51.8
11 forecasters
5
21 comments
21
On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?
4.24
29 forecasters
10
10 comments
10
Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee
Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for โcharging excessive fees to access court records through PACERโ?
Resolved :
Yes
47 forecasters
4
8 comments
8
Will the first commercial hyperloop system be within the US?
36.7%
208 forecasters
22
16 comments
16
Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?
Resolved :
Yes
41 forecasters
5
24 comments
24
How many COVID-19 cases in the US federal legislature will be publicly reported before 2021?
Resolved :
52
86 forecasters
10
48 comments
48
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