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When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?
Tesla
Jul 12, 2027
Waymo
Jan 29, 2027
Any Service
Nov 10, 2026
10
95 comments
95
On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?
4.24
29 forecasters
10
10 comments
10
Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee
Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?
Resolved :
No
80 forecasters
7
4 comments
4
What will Alphabet Inc.'s market capitalisation be at market close on 2026-12-14 in 2020 USD?
2.96
125 forecasters
12
20 comments
20
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
When will self-driving taxis be available in at least one large German city?
2030-06-14
72 forecasters
13
6 comments
6
AI Demonstrations
The Understanding AI Series With Timothy Lee
8
no comments
0
Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee
Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029?
80%
27 forecasters
4
19 comments
19
