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Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

5

How many wild polio cases will be detected by the World Health Organization in the following years?

3

Before 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?

199 forecasters

16

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

296 forecasters

40

Biosecurity Tournament

Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025?

173 forecasters

13

Biosecurity Tournament

Ragnarök Question Series: if a natural pandemic catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

5

Ragnarök Series

Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?

215 forecasters

8

By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?

6

All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?

103 forecasters

3

Will the current Ebola outbreak be contained to under 50 cases?

10

Pandemic Series (2018)