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Bridgewater 2025

AI Benchmarking

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Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?

138 forecasters

11

Ragnarök Question Series: if a natural pandemic catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

5

Ragnarök Series

Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?

215 forecasters

8

By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?

Resolved:Yes75%

6

Pandemic series: a significant flu pandemic by 2025?

112 forecasters

11

Pandemic Series (2018)

Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?

238 forecasters

43

Pandemic Series (2018)

Pandemic series: a significant bioterror attack by 2025?

132 forecasters

29

Pandemic Series (2018)

Pandemic series: a devastating bioterror attack by 2025?

131 forecasters

13

Pandemic Series (2018)

All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020?

103 forecasters

3

Will the current Ebola outbreak be contained to under 50 cases?

10

Pandemic Series (2018)

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