Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050?
31%
1234 forecasters
148
242 comments
242
Will there be a full year with no open stock exchanges in the US by 2120?
19%
51 forecasters
9
15 comments
15
When will Sabaton release their tenth album?
Resolved :
Mar 4, 2022
24 forecasters
16 comments
16
Population Crashes: The Deadliest Events In History
8
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
If a global catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
10%
40 forecasters
6
no comments
0
What percentage of US GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022?
Resolved :
3.5
332 forecasters
10
18 comments
18
Ukraine Conflict
If World War 3 happens before 2060, will the US and China be on the same side?
5%
91 forecasters
24
10 comments
10
If World War 3 happens before 2060, will the US and India be on the same side?
75%
54 forecasters
11
5 comments
5
If there is at least 1 offensive nuclear detonation by 2100, when will the first detonation occur?
2037-05-28
23 forecasters
3
7 comments
7
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will the next "Great Power" war be a nuclear war?
Resolved :
Annulled
32 forecasters
5
1 comment
1
Load More