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Who will be elected US President in 2024?
Kamala Harris
51%
Donald Trump
49%
Pete Buttigieg
0.1%
17 others
285
3k comments
3k
When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
2027-11-23
200
475 comments
475
AI Progress Essay Contest
Will humans go extinct before 2100?
1%
72
329 comments
329
When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
2032-03-05
175
477 comments
477
AGI Outcomes
Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?
25%
137
196 comments
196
Will there be Human-machine intelligence parity before 2040?
98%
221
146 comments
146
AGI Outcomes
When will AIs program programs that can program AIs?
2028-07-06
94
72 comments
72
AGI Outcomes
When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?
2025-02-20
58
99 comments
99
Effective Institutions Project
Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050?
30%
146
236 comments
236
Erik Hoel's 2050 Predictions Series
Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99?
1%
59
102 comments
102
Superconductor Frontiers
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