The Nuclear Risk Horizons Project contains all of the long-term questions that are sponsored by Rethink Priorities as part of their nuclear risk research. Most of these questions resolve by 2030, 2035, or 2050. As with the Nuclear Risk Tournament, forecasts, comments, and essays produced for this project will inform and in some cases be featured within Rethink Priorities’ other research, and some will be packaged for and directly shared with some key decision-makers.

The questions in this project will also be used in a fortified essay competition with the winners receiving The Szilard Prize. This essay competition will open in November 2021 and will close in December, with a prize pool of $1,000. More details about that prize will be announced soon.

Forecasters are invited to participate in these critical questions to help inform policy decisions, and hopefully reduce the risk of catastrophe.

Happy Forecasting!