4 comments
11 forecasters
Will there be a natural disaster causing at least 10 million deaths before 2101?
66%chance
0 comments
9 forecasters
Who will be the largest Democratic donor in the 2026 cycle, as of September 1, 2026?
George Soros
Majority Forward
Other
2 comments
6 forecasters
Who will be the largest Republican donor in the 2026 cycle, as of September 1, 2026?
Ben Horowitz & Marc Andreessen
Elon Musk
Jeff & Janine Yass
Miriam Adelson
2 others
36 comments
123 forecasters
What will happen in the Russia–Ukraine war between July 20 and September 1, 2026?
Negotiated De-escalation
Russian Advance
Ukrainian Advance
Continued Stalemate
8 comments
60 forecasters
Will a U.S. federal agency announce new or expanded model evaluation agreements with both OpenAI and Anthropic before September 3, 2026?
10%chance
4.9% today
0 comments
9 forecasters
Will the officially targeted launch month of the Nuri rocket be something other than October 2026, as of August 31, 2026?
10%chance
0 comments
5 forecasters
How many jobs will the U.S. economy add in August 2026?
Current estimate
41.3k jobs
2 comments
6 forecasters
Which coalition will govern following the 2026 Berlin state election?
R²G: SPD, Die Grünen, and Die Linke
Kenia: CDU, SPD, and Die Grünen
GroKo: CDU and SPD
Another Outcome
2 others
2 comments
1 forecaster
Will USTR publish a final overcapacity determination before September 24, 2026?
10%chance
1 comment
61 forecasters
What will be the Boliviano-USD exchange rate on August 31, 2026?
Current estimate
11.6 Bs/USD
2 comments
13 forecasters
Will South Korea announce a specific date for the 5th Nuri rocket launch before September 1, 2026?
61%chance