4 comments
6 forecasters
Which party will win the next (post-2023) parliamentary elections in Slovakia?
SMER-SD (Social Democracy)
PS (Progressivism)
HLAS-SD (Social Democracy)
Republika (Nationalism)
3 others
7 comments
7 forecasters
Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League due to financial-rule breaches before 2030?
50%chance
1 comment
6 forecasters
Will the 2026 suspected pneumonic plague outbreak in Russia result in 10 fatalities before 2027?
1%chance
1 comment
2 forecasters
Will Russia disable global technology infrastructure including AI before 2050?
0.6%chance
6 comments
86 forecasters
What will be the total spending by all Senate candidates in the 2026 US election cycle?
Current estimate
1.75B $
1 comment
4 forecasters
Will Gavin Newsom call a special session of the California Legislature on AI before January 1, 2027?
8%chance
37 comments
108 forecasters
How many bots will finish in the top 10 of the Metaculus Cup Fall 2026?
Current estimate
5.05 bots
3 comments
8 forecasters
When will a vaccine for any major neurodegenerative disease receive regulatory approval?
Current estimate
May 2033
5 comments
79 forecasters
What will be the highest intraday value of the VIX between October 1 and December 24, 2026?
Current estimate
25.1 Units
3 comments
80 forecasters
How many politicians will leave their cabinet positions in the UK government before 2027?
0
1
2
3 or more