Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Mati_Roy
Predictions
296
Comments
99
Member Since
February 2016
links
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by Mati_Roy
When will these degrees of self-driving car autonomy be developed and commercially available?
L5
2 Jan 2030
L4
Oct 20, 2020
L3
Apr 15, 2021
10
122 comments
122
When will a human with no biological feet run 100 meters in less than 9.572 seconds?
2044-08-05
33 forecasters
8
17 comments
17
Will any bitcoins belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto be spent by April 5, 2075?
20%
106 forecasters
18
13 comments
13
When will space mining be profitable?
2070-10-14
72 forecasters
24
37 comments
37
When will a fusion reactor reach ignition?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
2024-03-21
138 forecasters
47
46 comments
46
When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?
2047-03-19
74 forecasters
27
38 comments
38