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WilliamKiely

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Member SinceFebruary 2016

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Conditional on civilization launching one or more von Neumann probes by 2200 that will reach another solar system within 100,000 years, what will be the average speed of the fastest one, in c (> 1)?

5.13k this week

9

Will Holden's Bet with Zvi about Omicron resolve ambiguously?

7

Will Holden win his Bet with Zvi about Omicron, conditional on one of them winning?

Resolved :Yes98%

136 forecasters

12

What will be the largest real Gross World Product for the period 2020 through 1,000,002,020, in trillions of 2020 US$?

2

What will real Gross World Product be in 2200, in trillions of 2020 US$?

7

Conditional on civilization launching one or more von Neumann probes by 2200 that will reach another solar system within 100,000 years, what will be the average speed of the fastest one, in c?

6

What will real Gross World Product be in 2200, in trillions of 2020 USD?

5

What will real Gross World Product be in 2100, in trillions of 2020 USD?

5

By how many votes will the losing party fall short of winning control of the Senate in the 2020 Senate elections?

Resolved :54.9k321k

5

Will there be a 4 year interval in which world output doubles before 2050?

17