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ghabs
Predictions
312
Comments
37
Member Since
February 2016
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by ghabs
How many BIPs will be be approved and merged into bitcoin core in 2021?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
4.31
21 forecasters
3
7 comments
7
How many cumulative confirmed cases of coronavirus in San Francisco will be reported by Johns Hopkins CSSE on April 1st, 2020?
Resolved :
397
352
68 forecasters
5
42 comments
42
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Will an EU country veto an extension of Brexit's deliberation before Oct 31st 2019?
Resolved :
No
1%
84 forecasters
17
34 comments
34
By the end of 2019, will AlphaStar have won > 80% of its games against top players?
Resolved :
No
42%
43 forecasters
7
8 comments
8
By May 2020, will a single language model obtain an average score equal to or greater than 90% on the SuperGLUE benchmark?
Resolved :
No
85%
74 forecasters
12
28 comments
28
AI Technical Benchmarks
Will Facebook's Libra initiative launch by Oct 1st 2020?
Resolved :
No
20%
117 forecasters
11
11 comments
11
What will be the daily volume of Facebook's Libra by October 1st 2020?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
100M
69 forecasters
8
13 comments
13
Before 2025, will laws be in place requiring that AI systems that emulate humans must reveal to people that they are AI?
Resolved :
Annulled
23%
213 forecasters
27
20 comments
20
Regulation of AI
Will OpenAI Five win against the reigning Dota 2 world champions OG?
Resolved :
Yes
65%
53 forecasters
11
7 comments
7
AI Demonstrations