Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
gjm
Predictions
1907
Comments
776
Member Since
February 2016
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by gjm
How many MPs will the "Independent Group" have after the next UK general election?
Resolved :
0
7.12
39 forecasters
1
28 comments
28
Will there be rioting in the UK or Gibraltar if the UK is still in the EU on 30 March 2019?
Resolved :
No
40%
42 forecasters
1
8 comments
8
Has Michael Atiyah possibly cracked the Riemann hypothesis?
Resolved :
No
8%
50 forecasters
11
38 comments
38
Will the UK leave the EU by the end of June 2020?
Resolved :
Yes
75%
208 forecasters
35
14 comments
14
Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?
Resolved :
No
50%
93 forecasters
11
21 comments
21
What will be the price of a barrel of crude oil at Christmas 2018?
Resolved :
42.5
62.3
59 forecasters
8
31 comments
31
Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018?
Resolved :
No
33%
81 forecasters
9
7 comments
7