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PeterWildeford
Predictions
11382
Comments
1090
Member Since
April 2016
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Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by PeterWildeford
Will the United States government either ban TikTok or force a sale before 2025?
Resolved :
Yes
99%
107 forecasters
21
24 comments
24
Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 1000 deaths and/or at least $200B 2021 USD in economic damage?
25%
38 forecasters
11
5 comments
5
What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections?
R President, R House, R Senate
Yes
R President, D House, R Senate
No
D President, R House, D Senate
No
5 others
25
31 comments
31
Will Ohio Issue 1 pass in the August 2023 election?
Resolved :
No
18%
99 forecasters
3
14 comments
14
🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
When will a primarily-AI-made movie accomplish these types of success?
Award Nomination
16 Jun 2029
Animated Feature
6 Dec 2026
Tops Netflix
11 Sep 2027
2 others
13
16 comments
16
AI Demonstrations
Will there be a Frontier AI Lab outside the US before 2026?
Resolved :
Yes
89%
50 forecasters
10
6 comments
6
Regulation of AI
Will there be a Frontier AI lab in a non-Democracy before 2026?
Resolved :
Yes
85%
53 forecasters
6
17 comments
17
Regulation of AI
What will be the maximum 7 day weekly average of COVID deaths in the US before 2022 April 1?
Resolved :
2.67k
2.5k
34 forecasters
8
7 comments
7
What will be the maximum 7 day weekly average of COVID cases in the US between January 1, 2022 to April 1, 2022?
Resolved :
806k
814k
48 forecasters
9
14 comments
14
When will insect feed replace fishmeal for animal feed?
2031-07-21
12 forecasters
1
no comments
0
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