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isinlor
Predictions
4793
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568
Member Since
May 2017
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Questions by isinlor
When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?
Tesla
21 Apr 2027
Any Service
23 Dec 2026
Waymo
23 Sep 2026
10
98 comments
98
When will number of reported COVID-19 deaths (globally) per week go below 10,000 for 3 weeks?
Resolved :
May 17, 2022
2022-07-06
22 forecasters
5
12 comments
12
How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?
148k
37 forecasters
11
8 comments
8
Quantum-enhanced machine learning by 2040?
62%
82 forecasters
8
17 comments
17
What will be the longest uninterrupted stay (in days) in deep space before 2051?
723
29 forecasters
9
2 comments
2
Will detection of phosphine in Venus atmosphere be independently reproduced by 2023?
Resolved :
No
15%
74 forecasters
11
9 comments
9
When will AI be able to learn to play Montezuma's Revenge in less than 30 min?
2025-10-19
61 forecasters
16
15 comments
15
AI Demonstrations
Which month of 2021 will see the biggest global increase of COVID-19 cases?
Resolved :
12
4.12
90 forecasters
13
25 comments
25
How big will be the first crew sent to Mars?
Closed
8.98
104 forecasters
18
24 comments
24
When will AI achieve competency on multi-choice questions across diverse fields of expertise (MMLU)?
2025-08-06
88 forecasters
30
28 comments
28
AI Demonstrations
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